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OECD Economic Surveys: Greece

Greece has embarked on an ambitious adjustment programme to deal with the deep economic crisis by restoring sustainable public finances, competitiveness and the foundations for healthy and solid long-term growth. The economic adjustment plan is being implemented with the technical and financial support of the IMF, the European Union and the ECB, and – as announced on 21 July 2011 - the participation of Greece’s private sector. It aims at tackling the root causes rather than the symptoms of the crisis. The programme can succeed. Under conservative assumptions regarding growth and interest rates, and if fiscal and structural reforms are fully implemented, the debt-GDP ratio could peak in 2013 and fall below 60% of GDP in the next two decades. The package announced on 21 July 2011 should ensure reasonable interest rates on Greek debt, contains measures to enhance investment and growth, and will give Greece the time needed to implement reforms which will boost competitiveness and export performance. Despite the short term costs, the reforms that have been implemented or planned will benefit Greece for many years to come, as they will raise growth, living standards and equity. A key prerequisite of success is that the burden and benefits of reform be, and be seen to be, broadly and fairly shared. Clearly, the key to success will be in implementation, which will have to be impeccable[...]